Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Obama Vs. Romney Final Polls On Election Day - Business Insider

ESPN

So far, Election Morning has produced three new national polls. And, perhaps as a measure of how close the race between President Barack Obama and Republican rival Mitt Romney have been all along, the three polls even out to a near tie.?

Romney leads by a point in Rasmussen's daily tracking poll. The two candidates are tied in Politico and George Washington University's final Battleground poll. And Obama holds a 1.6-point lead over Romney in the Investor's Business Daily/TIPP poll.?

Of course, this is a difference from state polling, which gives Obama an edge in the Electoral College.

Some key points from the polls:

  • In both Rasmussen and Politico's polling, Romney has clear advantages on handling the economy and job creation. He beats Obama by 6 points in the Politico poll on this measure and by 3 points in Rasmussen.
  • The IBD/TIPP poll found that for the first time, Obama garnered 40 percent of the white vote. That seems a bit optimistic for the president, however.
  • In two of the three polls (Rasmussen's info is not available), Romney leads with Independents ? by 6 in IBD/TIPP and by 15 in Politico.
  • In the Politico poll, both candidates are ranked evenly favorable at 50 percent. Obama is rated slightly more unfavorable ? his split is 50-48, vs. Romney's 50-46.

Onto the key battleground state averages on the final day:

  • OHIO: Obama +2.9 (Real Clear Politics), 90.9% chance of winning (Nate Silver)
  • FLORIDA: Romney +1.5 (RCP), Obama with 50.3% chance of winning (Silver)
  • VIRGINIA: Obama + 0.3 (RCP), 79.4% chance of winning (Silver)
  • IOWA: Obama +2.4 (RCP), 84.3% chance of winning (Silver)
  • NEVADA: Obama +2.8 (RCP), 93.4% chance of winning (Silver)
  • COLORADO: Obama +1.5 (RCP), 79.7% chance of winning (Silver)
  • PENNSYLVANIA: Obama +3.8 (RCP), 98.6% chance of winning (Silver)

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Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-vs-romney-polls-final-election-day-2012-11

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